{"id":11203,"date":"2017-04-17T14:58:03","date_gmt":"2017-04-17T19:58:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/therealdaily.com\/?p=11203"},"modified":"2017-04-17T14:58:56","modified_gmt":"2017-04-17T19:58:56","slug":"nahb-index","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/big-data\/nahb-index\/","title":{"rendered":"The NAHB Index&#8217;s newest numbers have some people on edge"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>The NAHB index<\/h2>\n<p>On Monday, The National Association of Home Builders released new data showing a drop in confidence among American home builders this month.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\"><strong>Read also: <a href=\"https:\/\/therealdaily.com\/politics\/nahb-officer-may-run-congress-replace-rep-schock\/\">NAHB officer may run for Congress to replace the embattled Rep. Schock<\/a><\/strong><\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-91813\" src=\"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/bar.jpg\" alt=\"bar\" width=\"100\" height=\"19\" \/><br \/>\nThe NAHB housing market index also fell by three points in April, to 68. In March, the NAHB index made it up to 71, which is the strongest reading in over a decade.<\/p>\n<h2>Incorrect<\/h2>\n<p>The NAHB index is based upon a survey of NAHB members, conducted monthly, which targets the single-family housing market, in particular. The survey asks for a rating of market conditions for new home sales, both in the present and in the next six months. It also asks for information about the behavior and numbers of potential new home buyers.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>According to a poll conducted by Thomson Reuters, economists were incorrectly optimistic.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>They expected home builder confidence to reach 70 this month, after the boost in March attributed to President Trump\u2019s perceived anti-regulatory stance in the housing industry.<\/p>\n<h2>Apples to oranges<\/h2>\n<p>Chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, Robert Dietz, accompanied the new report with a reminder to distinguish demand from confidence: \u201cThe fact that the HMI measure of current sales conditions has been over 70 for five consecutive months shows that there is continued demand for new construction,&#8221; he said, but \u201cbuilders are facing several challenges.\u201d According to Dietz, these include \u201chefty regulatory costs and ongoing increases in building material prices.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>NAHB Chairman Granger MacDonald had some reassuring words of his own to add.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cEven with this month\u2019s modest drop, builder confidence is on very firm ground,\u201d he said. \u201cBuilders are reporting strong interest among potential home buyers.\u201d Basically, no one is worried about demand at this point. The problem lies in all the obstacles separating demand from supply.<\/p>\n<h2>No need to panic<\/h2>\n<p>Each of the index\u2019s three components saw decreases in April: the current sales conditions component fell to 74, down 3 points; the sales expectations for the next six months also dropped three points, to 75; and the buyer traffic component fell a single point, to 52. However, the NAHB maintains that all three components remain at healthy levels.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The regional breakdown reveals a disparity between the West and the rest of the country.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Builder sentiment remained unchanged from March in the West, and went down a single point in the South. In the Northeast, however, builder sentiment went down an alarming eight points, and the Midwest saw a five-point decrease.<\/p>\n<h2>I dip, you dip, we dip<\/h2>\n<p>On the 18th, the Commerce Department is slated to release a report, unrelated to the NAHB, detailing new residential construction from March. New housing starts are expected to have declined to an annual rate of 1.262 million, after a jump to 1.288 million the previous month.<\/p>\n<p>The industry may be starting to worry that President Trump will not keep his deregulation promises. If that\u2019s the case, further dips may be in store as confidence drops across the board.<\/p>\n<h3>#NAHBIndex<\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(REAL ESTATE NEWS) The NAHB housing market index is reflecting a drop in home builder confidence which is not to be confused with another crucial home builder trait.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":337688,"featured_media":11204,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"wds_primary_category":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[91],"tags":[1531,1530,491,1234],"class_list":["post-11203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-big-data","tag-home-builders","tag-index","tag-nahb","tag-real-estate-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2017\/04\/smartmockups0-11.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/337688"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11203"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11203\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11209,"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11203\/revisions\/11209"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11204"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theamericangenius.com\/housing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}