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Opinion Editorials

Will gas prices delay the housing recovery?

Debating the theory that gas prices cause the housing bubble to burst, pitting Santorum against a seasoned real estate veteran and exploring what is and is not having an impact on housing.

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On Monday, Republican candidate, Rick Santorum suggested at a campaign rally that the 2008 spike in gas prices caused the housing bubble to burst and could very well do something like that again.  I personally can say having been in the business for a number of years prior to 2008,  that the market was already well in to decline when the spike in gas prices occurred, so I don’t totally buy in to his theory.

I am more inclined to accept the over simplified but probably accurate Warren Buffet theory that we were building houses at a faster rate than households were forming, the ole supply and demand conundrum.  I also will throw my hat in to the ring and say that the point where a few select markets imploded causing conventional lenders to quit writing the 100% loan (summer of 2007 I believe) is the point that we were really in trouble nationally.  Home buyers  had been conditioned to expect to enter the market with often less money up front then it would take to get in to an apartment and no one was saving for a down payment.

The 2008 rise in fuel costs, coupled with the the US appetite for big SUV’s and well over 50% of the US housing stock being in the suburbs, it’s reasonable to assume the spike had to at least have had some negative impact on our indusry.    The question to ask now is; will this current surge in fuel prices  stall what has already been a tantalizing slow swing of the housing pendulum in the right direction?   I’ve been looking for some economists to post up some sort of forecast or theory on this and so far nothing other than it doesn’t appear builders expect a major spike in building costs as of yet.
Sticking my neck out with some theories of my own

A basic reality of the US,  is that the infrastructure of most US cities and communities was developed to be “car” centered.  I have been a willing participant in the efforts Nashville is making to try to  to change this reality but it’s clearly not an easy process and it is going to take years to rectify.  My point is, cars aren’t going anywhere for some time.  Therefore, if getting from point A to point B continues to become less affordable, there are three basic options as I see them:

1) limit your driving (not always doable)

2) get a more fuel efficient car (36% of the population according to a AAA survey are going this route)

3) cut expenses elsewhere

All of these will have an impact on housing as far as I’m concerned

Option 1 – limit driving could impact real estate in that more buyers, if they can afford it, will likely look to buy close to where they work and play.   It will also mean potential rise in demand for the planned communities that have greater access to retail and entertainment within walking distance.  I also expect to see some increase in demand for communities with reasonable access to public transit and/or lanes for pedestrian traffic to move safely around.  Unfortunately, it could also delay recovery in the suburbs if the subdivisions really don’t offer convenient access to anything.

Option 2 is worth noting because consumers realize now that there is much greater costs to owning a car then simply your car note and insurance.  Fuel efficiency  is now a major consideration for consumers in the market for a car and the market has shifted to offer more options.  More home buyers are asking to see utility bills prior to purchase and this is an indicator to me that there is also a shift in how the average consumer is perceiving the cost of owning a home as well.  That being said, I think the number of consumers actively considering energy efficiency in their home purchasing criteria will grow AND I think the cost of getting to and from work will also become a factor in how the consumer will evaluate the cost of home ownership.

Option 3 – cutting expenses elsewhere is the least sexy and not really what most Americans like to do.  Again, I think this could impact the housing industry because more and more consumers are becoming aware that some homes are built more efficiently than others.  If I were going to cut expenses, I would prefer to cut my electric bill over my wine  budget any day of the week.

A recent poll conducted by ABC-Washington Post found 63% of respondents experienced financial hardship from the recent rise in fuel prices.  36% said it had caused extreme hardship.   Since Americans are not quite ready and/or able to give up their cars and changing habits can only help to a point, suburbs with little walkable or convenient retail infrastructure could really suffer in the short term.  In addition, this could also delay first time home buyers entering the market because it will take them longer to come up with some up front money.

However, I also think that this will be a catalyst for many consumers to shift strategies when they do buy a home.  They may consider commute cost over commute time,  opt to sacrifice size for proximity, and seek higher efficiency over fancy finishes.  Since 2008, consumers have gravitated away from SUV’s and the automobile industry responded quickly.  It is very likely the housing market is ripe for an equally dramatic shift in demand and gas prices could be the fuel that ignites the change.   The question is are we poised to make the adjustment as well?

Anna Altic – Village Real Estate Services. I’ve called Nashville home for the last 15 years and have been practicing (practice being the key word here) real estate for just over 6 years. In the fall of 2007, I went to a local German Festival that had a home tour, including a LEED certified property, and I instantly became enamored with the idea of eco friendly living (ok, so I’d had a little beer and the dual flush toilet rocked my world). I have since devoted much of my time and energies in to studying and espousing the benefits of better building technology within our local residential market and my proudest accomplishment thus far has been successfully leading the initiative to get over 25 green features added to our MLS search fields.

Opinion Editorials

5 ways to grow your entrepreneur business without shaming others

(OPINION / EDITORIAL) We all need support as business owners. Let’s talk ideas for revenue growth as an entrepreneur that do not include shaming your competition.

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Entrepreneur women all talking around a meeting table.

The year 2020 has forced everyone to re-assess their priorities and given us the most uncertain set of circumstances we have lived through. For businesses and entrepreneurs, they were faced with having to confront new business scenarios quickly. Maybe your entrepreneur business was set to thrive as behaviors changed (maybe you already offered contactless products and services). Or, you were forced to add virtual components or find new revenue streams – immediately. This has been tough.

Every single person is having a hard time with the adjustments and most likely at different stages than others. We’re at the 6-month mark, and each of our timelines are going to look different. Our emotions have greeted us differently too, whether we have felt relief, grief, excitement, fear, hope, determination, or just plain exhaustion.

Now that we are participating in life a bit more virtually than in 2019, this is a good time to re-visit the pros and cons of the influence of technology and marketing outreach online. It’s also a great time to throw old entrepreneur rules out the window and create a better sense of community where you can.

Here’s an alluring article, “Now Is Not the Time for ‘Mom Shaming’”, that gives an example from about a decade ago of how the popularity of mommy bloggers grew by women sharing their parenting “hacks”, tips, or even recipes and crafting ideas via online posts and blogs. As the blog entries grew, so did other moms comparing themselves and/or feeling inadequate. Some of the responses were natural and some may have been coming from a place of defensiveness. Moms are not alone in looking for resources, articles, materials, and friends to tell us we’re doing ok. We just need to be told “You are doing fine.”

Luckily, some moms in Connecticut decided to declare an end to “Mom Wars” and created a photo shoot that shared examples of how each mom had a right to their choices in parenting. It seemed to reinforce the message of, “You are doing fine.” I don’t know about you, but my recent google searches of “Is it ok to have my 3-year old go to bed with the iPad” are pretty much destined to get me in trouble with her pediatrician. I’m hoping that during a global pandemic, “I am doing fine.”

Comparing this scenario to the entrepreneur world, often times your business is your baby. You have worn many hats to keep it alive. You have built the concept and ideas, nurtured the products and services with sweat, tears, and maybe some laughs. You have spent countless hours researching, experimenting, and trying processes and marketing tactics that work for you. You have been asked to “pivot” this year like so many others (sick of that word? Me too).

Here are some ideas for revenue growth as an entrepreneur (or at least, ideas worth considering if you haven’t already):

  1. It’s about the questions you ask yourself. How does your product or service help or serve others (vs. solely asking how do I get more customers?) This may lead to new ideas or income streams.
  2. Consider a collaboration or a partnership – even if they seem like the competition. “If you want to go fast, go alone. If you want to go far, go together.” – African proverb
  3. Stop inadvertently shaming the competition by critiquing what they do. It’s really obvious on your Instagram. Try changing the narrative to how you help others.
  4. Revisit the poem All I Really Need to Know I Learned in Kindergarten and re-visit it often. “And it is still true, no matter how old you are – when you go out into the world, it is best to hold hands and stick together.”
  5. Join a community, celebrate others’ success, and try to share some positivity without being asked to do so. Ideas include: Likes/endorsements, recommendations on LinkedIn for your vendor contacts, positive Google or Yelp reviews for fellow small business owners.

It seems like we really could use more kindness and empathy right now. So what if we look for the help and support of others in our entrepreneurial universe versus comparing and defending our different way of doing things?

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Opinion Editorials

Can we combat grind culture and injustice with a nap?

(OPINION EDITORIALS) A global pandemic and a climate of racial injustice may require fresh thinking and a new approach from what grind culture has taught us.

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Sleeping cat with plant, fighting grind culture.

Information is delivered to us at warp speed with access to television, radio, and the internet (and more specifically, social media). We are inundated with messages. Oftentimes they’re personalized by something that a friend or family shared. Other times we manage them for work, school, or just keeping up with news. Many entrepreneurs already wear many hats and burn the midnight oil.

During this global pandemic, COVID-19, we have also seen a rise in awareness and attention to social injustice and systemic racism. This is not a new concept, as we all know. But it did feel like the attention was advanced exponentially by the murder of George Floyd on Memorial Day 2020. Many people and entrepreneurs felt called to action (or at least experienced self-reflection). And yet they were working at all hours to evolve their businesses to survive. All of this happening simultaneously may have felt like a struggle while they tried to figure out exactly they can do.

There are some incredible thought leaders – and with limited time, it can be as simple as checking them out on Instagram. These public figures give ideas around what to be aware of and how to make sure you are leveling up your awareness.

Dr. Ibram X. Kendi, Director of the Center for Antiracist Research – he has been studying anti-racism and has several books and interviews that help give language to what has been happening in our country for centuries. His content also delves into why and how white people have believed they are more than people of color. Here is a great interview he did with Brené Brown on her Unlocking Us podcast.

Tamika Mallory – American activist and one of the leading organizers of the 2017 Women’s March. She has been fighting for justice to be brought upon the officers that killed Breonna Taylor on March 13. These are among other efforts around the country to push back on gun control, feminist issues, and the Black Lives Matter movement.

Brené Brown – research professor at the University of Houston and has spent the last two decades studying courage, vulnerability, shame, and empathy. She has been listening and engaging on how racism and our shame intersect. She also speaks about how people can reflect on themselves and where they can take action to better our society. She has some antiracism resources on her website.

With all of this information and the change in our daily routines and work habits (or business adjustments), what is a fresh approach or possibly a new angle that you haven’t been able to consider?

There is one social channel against grind culture that may not be as well-known. At an initial glance, you may even perceive this place as a spoof Twitter and Instagram that is just telling you to take a nap. But hold on, it’s actually much smarter than that. The description says “We examine the liberating power of naps. We believe rest is a form of resistance and reparations. We install Nap Experiences. Founding in 2016.”

It might be a great time for you to check out The Nap Ministry, inspired by Tricia Hersey. White people are called to action, and people of color are expressly told to give time to taking care of themselves. Ultimately, it goes both ways – everyone needs the time to recharge and recuperate. But people of color especially are being told to value their rest more than the grind culture. Yes, you’re being told you need to manage your mental health and include self-care in your schedule.

Through The Nap Ministry, Tricia “examines rest as a form of resistance by curating safe spaces for the community to rest via Collective Napping Experiences, immersive workshops, and performance art installations.”

“In this incredibly rich offering, we speak with Tricia on the myths of grind culture, rest as resistance, and reclaiming our imaginative power through sleep. Capitalism and white supremacy have tricked us into believing that our self-worth is tied to our productivity. Tricia shares with us the revolutionary power of rest.” They have even explored embracing sleep as a political act.

Let this allow you to take a deep breath and sigh – it is a must that you take care of yourself to take care of your business as well as your customers and your community. And yes, keep your drive and desire to “get to work”. But not at your expense for the old grind culture narrative.

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Opinion Editorials

The actual reasons people choose to work at startups

(EDITORIAL) Startups have a lot going for them, environment, communication, visible growth. But why else would you work for one?

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Startups meeting led by Black woman.

Startups are perpetually viewed as the quintessential millennial paradise with all of the accompanying perks: Flexible hours, in-house table tennis, and long holidays. With this reputation so massively ingrained in the popular perception of startups, is it foolish to think that their employees actually care about the work that startup companies accomplish?

Well, yes and no.

The average startup has a few benefits that traditional business models can’t touch. These benefits often include things like open communication, a relaxed social hierarchy, and proximity to the startup’s mission. That last one is especially important: While larger businesses keep several degrees of separation between their employees and their end goals, startups put the stakes out in the open, allowing employees to find personal motivation to succeed.

When employees find themselves personally fulfilled by their work, that work reaps many of the benefits in the employee’s dedication, which in turn helps the startup propagate. Many aspiring startup employees know this and are eager to “find themselves” through their work.

Nevertheless, the allure of your average startup doesn’t always come from the opportunity to work on “something that matters.”

Tiffany Philippou touches on this concept by pointing out that “People come to work for you because they need money to live… [s]tartups actually offer pretty decent salaries these days.”

It’s true that many employees in their early to late twenties will likely take any available job, so assuming that your startup’s 25-and-under employee base is as committed to finding new uses for plastic as you are may be a bit naïve—indeed, this is a notion that holds true for any business, regardless of size or persuasion.

However, startup experience can color a young employee’s perception of their own self-worth. This allows them to pursue more personally tailored employment opportunities down the road—and that’s not a bad legacy to have.

Additionally, startups often offer—and even encourage—a level of personal connection and interactivity that employees simply won’t find in larger, more established workplaces. That isn’t symptomatic of startups being too laid-back or operating under loosely defined parameters. Instead, it’s a clue that work environments that facilitate personalities rather than rote productivity may stand to get more out of their employees.

Finally, your average startup has a limited number of spots, each of which has a clearly defined role and a possibility for massive growth. An employee of a startup doesn’t typically have to question their purpose in the company—it’s laid out for them; who are we to question their dedication to fulfilling it?

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