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Tablet growth to surpass notebooks within four years

Although notebooks are adapting, tablet devices are rising in popularity and will soon outpace notebooks sold.

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tablets taking over the world

tablets taking over the world

Tablets are taking over the world

Hop on a train in San Francisco, go to a conference in Atlanta, or enter a Starbucks in Boston, and you’ll inevitably see people using their tablets. It is becoming more and more common to see tablets over laptops, or even smartphones in some cities, as the popularity is rapidly increasing.

NPD DisplaySearch has studied this trend in their Quarterly Mobile PC Shipment and Forecast Report1, and assert that tablets like the iPad and Kindle Fire, will be the growth driver for the mobile PC market in upcoming years, forecasting that tablet shipments will surpass notebook shipments in 2016 – faster than some had predicted previously.

[ba-pullquote align=”right”]”Mobile PC shipments will grow from 347M units in 2012 to over 809M units by 2017.”[/ba-pullquote]The report says that overall mobile PC shipments will grow from 347M units in 2012 to over 809M units by 2017 and that while notebook PC shipments are expected to increase from 208M units in 2012 to 393M units by 2017, tablet PC shipments are expected to grow from 121M units to 416M units in this period, for a compound annual growth rate of 28%.

tablet shipment forecast

[ba-pullquote align=”right”]”While the lines between tablet and notebook PCs are blurring, we expect mature markets to be the primary regions for tablet PC adoption.”[/ba-pullquote]“Consumer preference for mobile computing devices is shifting from notebook to tablet PCs, particularly in mature markets,” said Richard Shim, senior analyst at NPD DisplaySearch. “While the lines between tablet and notebook PCs are blurring, we expect mature markets to be the primary regions for tablet PC adoption. New entrants are tending to launch their initial products in mature markets. Services and infrastructure needed to create compelling new usage models are often better established in mature markets.”

Why the massive growth?

NPD cites adoption in mature markets like Japan, North America, and Western Europe as the key driver for tablet PC growth, which they say will account for 66 percent of shipments in 2012 alone, and remain in the 60 percent range through 2016. The report adds that tablet PC shipments into mature markets will grow from 80M units in 2012 to 254M units by 2017.

tablets emerging

[ba-pullquote align=”right”]”Tablet PCs are expected to evolve in form factor and performance, making them a compelling alternative to notebook PCs.”[/ba-pullquote]”Building upon convenience-oriented features including instant-on capability, long battery life and extreme portability, tablet PCs are expected to evolve in form factor and performance, making them a compelling alternative to notebook PCs,” the report says. “Tablet PCs are expected to incorporate multi-core processors, increasingly stable operating systems, growing app libraries and higher resolution displays.”

As a side effect, notebooks are evolving to retain market share by reducing their thickness, to adding touch functionality to screens. NPD says the notebook PC market will remain the largest part of the mobile PC market during the forecast period, accounting for 60 percent of mobile PC shipments in 2012, declining to 49 percent by 2017.

1 NPD DisplaySearch Quarterly Mobile PC Shipment and Forecast Report

Marti Trewe reports on business and technology news, chasing his passion for helping entrepreneurs and small businesses to stay well informed in the fast paced 140-character world. Marti rarely sleeps and thrives on reader news tips, especially about startups and big moves in leadership.

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1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. Gerre

    July 9, 2012 at 5:52 am

    Prsonally I think that tablets are more convenient for use on the go (the purpose of laptops some time ago). And in a couple of years the technologies used in tablets will be no worse than those in laptops. So the future is for tablets.
    https://www.hyperbbs.com/

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Tablets

Apple announced the 128 GB iPad will launch next week

Apple’s product announcement today of a new 128 GB iPad has been met with mixed reactions as the company shifts its process in the post-Jobs era.

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128 gb ipad

128 GB iPad on the way

Apple today announced a new 128 GB version of the fourth generation iPad with retina display to be launched next Tuesday, February 5th in black or white. Pricing will be set at $799 for the iPad with Wi-Fi, and $949 for the iPad with Wi-Fi + Cellular model.

“With more than 120 million iPads sold, it’s clear that customers around the world love their iPads, and everyday they are finding more great reasons to work, learn and play on their iPads rather than their old PCs,” said Philip Schiller, Apple’s senior vice president of Worldwide Marketing. “With twice the storage capacity and an unparalleled selection of over 300,000 native iPad apps, enterprises, educators and artists have even more reasons to use iPad for all their business and personal needs.”

Mixed reactions to the 128 GB iPad launch

“The features and capabilities of iPad give us the ability to set a new standard for multitrack recording and editing on a mobile device,” said Rim Buntinas, WaveMachine Labs’ CEO. “Users of the Auria app can play 48 mono or stereo 24bit/96 kHz tracks simultaneously, record up to 24 of those tracks simultaneously, and also edit and mix with familiar tools. With its portability and all-day battery life, iPad has revolutionized recording for audio professionals allowing artists to record anywhere.”

Fans have taken to Twitter to hail the announcement, particularly musicians and media creators, but a large number of Apple fans have commented on blogs that while excited, they had hoped for a different kind of innovation, or an announcement of a next generation device rather than a pricier version of what they are already carrying in hand.

With rumors continuing to echo that Apple will create lower-end devices (read: cheap) for developing nations, skeptics are quietly questioning the company’s plans, and with the product launch schedule becoming more erratic, the company is not necessarily losing its popularity by any means, but die hard fans are showing signs of fatigue at bi-annual (possibly soon to be tri-annual?) product rollouts that theoretically make their brand new expensive device old.

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Tablets

Next generation iPad, iPad mini may be released in March

Continuing with Apple’s accelerated launch schedule, rumors are flying of a spring iPad and iPad mini launch.

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iPad and iPad mini: spring launch?

A new report showcasing observations from the 2013 Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas includes hints at a spring release for the next generation iPad and iPad mini.

Topeka Capital Markets analyst Brian White said, “Our checks at CES indicate Apple will release the iPad 5 and the second-generation iPad mini this March. The iPad 5 is expected to be lighter and thinner than the iPad 4 that was released in October, while the form factor of the iPad mini should be similar to the first generation iPad mini that debuted in October.”

These reports are similar to what various international bloggers have noted, with dozens of claims that Apple is now observing an accelerated product release schedule, particularly with the iOS family of devices, as the company aggressively seeks to keep their market share.

Big changes at Apple

In years past, the company typically observed annual update cycles, and tech analysts could react accordingly, as could consumers, but last fall’s fourth-generation iPad release only seven months after the third generation iPad shocked the world. Many assumed the move was a way to usher in the post-Jobs era after the passing of the company’s CEO, but with rumors swirling of a spring release and the possibility of more releases annually, it appears a change in the company rather than a one-time marketing ploy. It remains unclear.

Rumors of a less expensive iPhone for emerging global markets were subject to criticism as more than one executive said it would never happen, others say the company plans to offer lower priced smartphones without sacrificing quality, but other analysts note the opposite.

Coupling the two recent rumor reports, the most obvious conclusion one can come to is that Apple is coming up with a new formula in the face of tight competition.

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Tablets

20 million touchscreen Google Chromebooks to ship in 2012?

Reports out of China indicate that rumors of a touchscreen Google Chromebook are true as a Taiwanese component maker is gearing up to outfit 20 million units of Google’s own branded Chromebook.

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google chromebook touchscreen

Google Chromebook going touchscreen?

As laptops and dekstops are increasingly becoming touchscreen to compete with the surging tablet market, reports out of China indicate that Google Chromebooks are going the way of touchscreen as well, which would bring the cloud-centric computing theory to a broader user base. Digitimes.com reports that Google will launch a 12.85-inch Chrome OS touch-controlled notebook for own-brand sale, with Taiwan-based Compal Electronics responsible for OEM production and Wintek supplying touch panels, citing the Chinese-language Commercial Times (CT) indicates, based on Taiwan-based supply chain makers.

The technology news outlet says that Taiwan-based makers have begun shipping components for the notebook and Compal will start shipments as soon as the end of 2012.

Making the Chromebook touchscreen could make it a viable competitor to various tablets already on the market as well as those set to hit for the holidays, with Chromebook fans lauding the light weight and innovative operating system, perfect for true mobile browsing, which functions far differently from the app-heavy tablets Google is clearly taking aim at with their next product.

A new strategy for Google?

Additionally, a touchscreen Chromebook would indicate the first new strategy coming out of the Chromebook department, as the current devices run between $200 and $450, a low barrier to entry which has aided adoption since its launch. Critics claim that because Chromebooks must be connected to the internet in order to function, they could limit use, but supporters claim that most offline use is now within range of wi-fi, making the cloud-based system ideal, freeing up hard drive space for actual use rather than heavy programs and operating systems.

Some believe that this new touchscreen could raise the cost of the device, which could make its competitive edge dull a bit, but it would also put it in the price range of many of the new touchscreen laptops hitting the market, which could help it to directly compete not only on features, but by being featured alongside bigger competitors like the new Microsoft Surface.

With 20 million units reportedly being outfitted by Taiwan’s Compal and shipping in 2012, technologist’s eyes and shoppers’ eyes will be squarely on the inexpensive Chromebook options, especially when it offers touchscreen options.

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