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What can you expect with property values in 2018?

(REAL ESTATE NEWS) Although property values fluctuate depending on location, we can spot regional trends to showcase what 2018 has in store.

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One question property owners and potential buyers are constantly asking as 2017 winds down is: What can I expect with my property values for the next year? While there may be no crystal ball for property values, there are certainly trends that can be helpful in making decisions in the New Year.

According to data analysis on property value trends from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) using federal American Community Survey (ACS) numbers, good things are in store for property owners and hypothetical buyers.

“Using data from the American Community Survey (ACS), we can analyze the gains and losses of property values over time,” Michael Hyman, research data specialist for NAR said. “Looking at the 2005 – 2016 period, the figures point to trends, which vary by region and state.”

Using data from the ACS from years 2005 to 2016, NAR found only a few states for this 11-year period are showing property value stagnation or devaluation. More specifically, property value growth was the strongest in the Southern region. The Northeast had the weakest growth in property values.

NAR’s regional analysis of the of Northeast, Midwest, South, and West goes further in the weeds to describe what types of value trends are occurring. The South’s lead on property value growth is lead by Louisiana, with a ratio of 57 percent price growth with four percent average annual price growth. This finding falls in lockstep with the idea that many property flippers that are now turning their attention to Louisiana (specifically Baton Rouge).

In contrast to the South, the Northeast (which normally has the slowest price growth) had one of the biggest losers in terms of price trends, with Rhode Island’s value dropping 11 percent, and negative one percent change annually. If your eye is on the Northeast at any cost, Pennsylvania is your best bet, with a 40 percent price growth and 3 percent annual growth.

But the big winner in the property growth trends? The Midwest’s North Dakota, with a whopping 106 percent increase in price growth and 6 percent growth annually. The big loser for this time frame is Nevada, with negative 16 percent growth and a decrease of one percent annually.

While this data can’t guarantee that any current or future property venture will turn profitable, it can highlight some areas of interest. It’s no crystal ball, but it can give you a great perspective on future property value forecasting.

Alexandra Bohannon has a Master of Public Administration degree from University of Oklahoma with a concentration in public policy. She is currently based in Oklahoma City, working as a freelance filmmaker, writer, and podcaster. Alexandra loves playing Dungeons and Dragons and is a diehard Trekkie.

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Homeownership

1 in 3 renters didn’t pay rent in April – now what?

(HOMEOWNERSHIP) Renters have fallen behind on rent in the past month; that money can help them during this hard time, but what happens to the landlords?

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The National Multifamily Housing Council reports that only 69% of renters paid their rent by April 5. For comparison, last month, 81% had paid their rent by March 5. Last year’s figure for April was 82%. This figure should give lawmakers and business owners pause during the coronavirus pandemic. It’s hoped that as unemployment and stimulus money is paid out, renters can make their payments, but this 12% drop in rent payments demonstrates just one challenge facing our nation.

Evictions on hold, but this may not be enough

The NMHC is recommending short-term financial assistance to renters who have lost their job due to the pandemic instead of just placing a moratorium on evictions. Putting a halt on evictions simply delays the inevitable. Renters who lost a job won’t simply be able to make back payments in a few months. The Texas Supreme Court has placed a moratorium on evictions through June 1. HUD extends this through July 24 for government-assisted housing.

A group in Colorado is asking for a rent strike, which in theory sounds effective. The problem is that landlords still have their own bills to pay, utilities, maintenance, mortgages and more. A rent freeze could create a tidal wave of issues that will further extend the economic uncertainty. Although some are hoping that Congress will address this huge problem, it could take a few weeks to get direct relief.

What are some options?

Dallas Mayor Eric Johnson says, “Have a heart, have a heart. These are incredibly difficult times for everyone.” He also asked renters to work with their landlords, because they have bills, too. NMHC is asking its members to:

• Waive late fees and administrative costs over the next month
• Give residents payment plans (put them in writing)
• Share resources to help residents

Renters need to be proactive and talk to landlords about their situation. And landlords would be wise to openly communicate their limits to renters – transparency could be the difference between flipping a unit and praying for a renter, and a few tough months. These are difficult times. Everyone is going to have to work together to find solutions to alleviate the effects of this pandemic.

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Homeownership

What are G-fees and why does the gov’t want to raise and take them?

(HOMEOWNERSHIP) Trade groups are banning together to push politicians to not raise G-fees to cover their own ancillary budget, It really would only restrict home buyers.

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As many Americans know, our national budget has a yearly deficit. These deficits have placed many lawmakers into situations that resemble a not so comfortable space in between a rock and a hard place. This results in many discussions over the budget each year, and in some cases, a government shut down until a path is chosen for the country. On March 6, 2020, 33 organizations sent a letter to multiple lawmakers that could have significant impacts on the decisions of the housing market for not only fiscal year 2021 but over 10 years later.

The topic of the letter focused around “g-fees”, or also known as guarantee fees within the “GSEs” (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac). These g-fees, “cover projected credit losses from borrower defaults over the lifetime of the loans, administrative costs, and a return on capital” according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

When these g-fees are hoisted up, like in 2011 to fund a two-month payroll tax relief period, it raises the cost of homeownership nationwide for 10 years. The letter gives the example of a “10 basis points [raised] in g-fees amounts to an additional $5,100 in mortgage payments on the average GSE loan amount of $255,000.” In short, homeowners or those looking to get a mortgage loan would almost instantly see an increase in how much they would pay if g-fees were raised.

Besides laying out the details of how g-fees function, the letter also focused on this cohort’s logical objection for not raising g-fees. These organizations stated they “firmly believe that g-fees should only be used as originally intended: as a critical risk management tool to protect against potential mortgage credit losses.” and not used to fund non-housing related programs and becoming the nation’s “piggy bank”.

If you are a homeowner, or can be impacted by mortgages in any situation, it might be time to start saving or speak up. This is a current issue as the president’s proposed budget for fiscal year 2021 suggests using g-fees again to help fund loses in the budget.

These are the organizations who are asking for this reconsideration through their letter:

American Bankers Association
American Escrow Association
American Land Title Association
Asian Real Estate Association of America
Center for Responsible Lending
Community Associations Institute
Council for Affordable and Rural Housing
Credit Union National Association
District of Columbia Association of REALTORS
Enterprise Community Partners, Inc.
Housing Policy Council
Independent Community Bankers of America
Institute of Real Estate Management
Leading Builders of America
Manufactured Housing Institute
Mortgage Bankers Association
National Apartment Association
National Association of Federally-Insured Credit Unions
National Association of Home Builders
National Association of Housing Cooperatives
National Association of Real Estate Brokers (NAREB)
National Association of REALTORS®
National Community Reinvestment Coalition (NCRC)
National Community Stabilization Trust
National Council of State Housing Agencies
National Fair Housing Alliance
National Housing Conference
National Housing Resource Center
National Multifamily Housing Council
National NeighborWorks Association
The Community Mortgage Lenders of America
The Realty Alliance U.S. Mortgage Insurers

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Homeownership

The Federal Housing Finance Agency is dropping serious cash to help buyers

(HOMEOWNERSHIP) What would you do with half a billion dollars? The Federal Housing Finance Agency is putting it towards affordable housing.

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Last year, ATTOM Data Solutions, released a study showing that wages in about 80% of the United States can’t keep up with the rising cost of buying a home. In fact, for about 59% of the areas studied, it was cheaper to rent three bedroom housing, rather than buy.

As such, it should come as no surprise that the number of low-income individuals surpasses the amount of affordable housing available. “Is it a housing problem, or is it an income problem?” says Chris Herbert, managing director of Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard, “I would say it is both.”

The thing is, a lack of affordable housing hurts everyone. Would-be homeowners are left renting and forced out of certain areas (and opportunities), while rising prices can also make it more difficult for people to sell their homes. Yikes.

Luckily, it’s not all bad news, thanks to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, which is allocating “$502.2 million to the National Housing Trust Fund and the Capital Magnet Fund.”

Don’t get me wrong, this isn’t going to fix the systemic problems that have created this disparity between income and housing prices, but it’s definitely a nice start. For instance, the National Housing Trust Fund commits at least 90% of its funding to creating and maintaining affordable housing, with the other 10% going to help first-time homeowners take on some of the unexpected costs of homeownership.

Meanwhile, the Capital Magnet Grant Fund focuses on providing grants to help revitalize low-income communities. They’ve created over 13,000 affordable homes so far, though only about 12% of these homes are for homeownership – most are rentals. Still, not bad when it comes to helping low-income citizens afford the rising prices of living.

Both groups have great track records, so it will be exciting to see how they utilize this donation of over half a billion dollars. The president of the National Association of Realtors®, Vince Malta, also commended the move.

“Initiatives that address the root of the nation’s housing affordability crisis must take center stage in discussions surrounding the future of housing finance,” Malta explained, “NAR looks forward to leading this discussion and working with the FHFA (Federal Housing Finance Agency) to ensure all responsible, credit-worthy individuals can achieve the American Dream of homeownership.”

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