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Real Estate Big Data

Veterans and active military home buyers and sellers [stats]

For the first time ever, NAR has released a report focused exclusively on the habits of veteran and active military home buyers and sellers, offering some unique insight.

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According to a new survey from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), veterans and active military purchase at younger ages and buy larger, more expensive homes due not only to differences in household demographics, but the affordable financing options made available to servicemembers.

This is the Association’s first ever survey of this demographic, and the 2016 Veterans & Active Military Home Buyers and Sellers Profile offers some pretty interesting gems. Of all home buyers, 18 percent identified as veterans, and 3.0 percent as active military. Of all home sellers, 21 percent identified as veterans, 1.0 percent as active military.

But what caught our attention is that nearly all active-service military members use an agent.

The median age of an active service home buyer is 34 years old, compared to non-military buyers at 40 years old, they’re more likely to be married and have multiple children, and therefore typically purchase bigger (and more expensive) homes.

One advantage of military life

Dr. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says young active-service buyers (ages 18-35) bought homes at a far greater rate (51 percent) than non-military buyers (34 percent).

“Despite having a lower median income ($76,800), more stable job security and no down payment financing options give aspiring homeowners in the military a deserving advantage over their civilian peers,” he said. “Furthermore, their tendencies to marry and raise a family at an earlier age and carry less student debt make buying a home a more desirable and achievable option.”

The most popular loan type for military members is Veteran Affairs (VA) loans, offering 100 percent financing and an average of 5.0 percent down (compared to the 11 percent average for non-military buyers).

Adds Dr. Yun, “Current data shows that VA loans perform remarkably well and are a safe and affordable choice. Their current seriously delinquent and homes in foreclosure rate is 2.78 percent versus 3.44 percent for non-VA loans.”

What and why they buy or sell

Despite a lower median income ($86,500), active military home buyers typically bought a 2,170 sf home for $226,00 while veterans (median income of $84,00) typically bought a 1,980 sf home for $220,00.

Active service members, not surprisingly, indicated that job relocation was their primary reason for home purchase, followed closely by the desire to be homeowners.

Veterans tend to buy to be closer to friends and family, or for retirement.

It’s no surprise that while non-military buyers have averaged a move of only 10 miles for years, active and veteran service members average 75 and 28 miles, respectively.

Veterans were most influenced to select a neighborhood based on the quality of that neighborhood, while active military indicate convenience to their job is the top priority.

The most common reason veterans sold their home was to be closer to friends and family, while job relocation was the top reason for active service members to sell.

Veterans and Active Military Infographic

#MilitaryHomeowners

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Real Estate Big Data

Home values are on the rise – What will homes be worth in 2023?

(BIG DATA) The housing market is on fire. Will we continue to see home values increasing over the next 2 years? This prediction poll has the answers.

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Houses representing increasing home values.

Ask 12 experts in real estate about the future of home values and you’ll probably get 20 or more different opinions. With mortgage rates rising, the housing market is expected to slow down, but that doesn’t mean that home values are going to decline. Here’s one prediction from GOBankingRates about home values in 2023.

Predictions for Home Values

GOBankingRates used the median home value rate to predict what home valuations will do over the next year. The median home value is the property’s actual valuation, not the list price or home price. It’s interesting to note that there were no predictions in which home values would decline. In most states, home values should increase by 10% or more. Only three states, Louisiana, North Dakota, and Alaska, had predictions of less than 10%. Some states, Utah, Florida, and Arizona had a prediction of over 20% gain.
Here are some of the predictions:

  • Texas – the median home value in 2022 is $290,527. The projected home growth is 15.29%.
  • West Virginia, the state with the lowest median home value of $129,518 has a projected one-year growth rate of 10.39%.
  • Tennessee – with a median home value of $276,250 in 2022, the projected growth rate is 18.19%.
  • Florida – the 2022 median home value is $373,735. By 2023, the projected home value change is 22.04%.
  • Hawaii – the state with the highest median home value of $972,147 has a projected growth rate of 16.65%.

This information is valuable for both homeowners and home buyers. Read the report and find your state here.

The real estate market is promising

Although there were concerns that the pandemic would cause a housing crash, what we’re seeing is much different. It’s not even the housing bubble of 2008. Housing prices are rising because of a lack of supply and increased demand. There’s less likelihood of foreclosure today than 15 years ago, due to more stringent requirements. The housing market looks good, not just into next year, but hopefully over the next decade and more.

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Real Estate Big Data

Median home prices hit $407K, home sales fall 3.4%

(REAL ESTATE NEWS) Home sales dip for a fourth consecutive month in May – what does this mean for the housing market going forward?

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home sales

For the fourth consecutive month, existing home sales (real estate contracts signed) fell 3.4% in May from April, and slumped 8.6% from a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The average days on market fell from 17 days in April (and May 2021) to 16 days in May, and 81% of all homes listed sold in under a month.

The median home price rose 14.8% over the last year to $407,6000, the first time it has ever exceeded $400K. May marks the 123rd consecutive month of annual increases, the longest-running streak in history.

Inventory remains tight, but did rise 12.6% from April to 1.16 million by the end of May, marking a 2.6 month sales pace. Inventory is down 4.1% from May of 2021.

“Home sales have essentially returned to the levels seen in 2019 – prior to the pandemic – after two years of gangbuster performance,” said NAR Chief Economist, Dr. Lawrence Yun.

“Also, the market movements of single-family and condominium sales are nearly equal, possibly implying that the preference towards suburban living over city life that had been present over the past two years is fading with a return to pre-pandemic conditions,” Dr. Yun added.

He notes that it is expected that home sales in coming months will continue to decline in light of rising mortgage rates, yet appropriately priced homes will continue to sell quickly.

First time buyers made up 27% of sales in May, down from 28% in April. This diminishing number remains troubling, as the average hovered around 33% for years, and was at 31% in May 2021.

All-cash sales rising to 25% (up from 23% in May 2021), and individual investors or second-home buyers accounted for 16% of sales in May.

“Declining home purchases means more people are renting, and the resulting rent price escalation may spur more institutional investors to buy single-family homes and turn them into rental properties – placing additional financial strain on prospective first-time homebuyers,” said NAR President Leslie Rouda Smith.

“To counter this trend,” Rouda notes, “policymakers should consider incentivizing an inventory release to the market by temporarily lowering capital gains taxes for mom-and-pop investors to sell to first-time buyers.”

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Real Estate Big Data

NAR Chief Economist predicts housing market uncertainty

(BIG DATA) Warning bells on the housing market have been ringing for over a year. While this prediction isn’t a surprise, it’s disappointing news.

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Multitude of colorful homes representing housing market.

The housing market is booming. Many experts are concerned about another bust like we experienced in 2008, but the conditions are much different today. Homeowners aren’t extended like they were when the market crashed in 2008. National Association of Realtors® Chief Economist Lawrence Yun suggests that the housing market is still uncertain, even though he says, “housing kept the economy afloat” during the pandemic.

What is impacting the housing market? 

Yun cites record-low inventory and inflation as “curveballs” to the housing market. Many economists, including Yun, have been concerned about low inventory for many years, especially in certain markets. Even though builders are working hard to construct new residences, supply chain and labor issues are not accelerating the process.

Yun is more concerned about inflation impacting the housing market. He says,

“wages have risen by 6% from one year ago…but inflation is 8.5%.”

Rising mortgage rates have made mortgages cost $300 to $400 a month more, according to Yun. Many working families can’t afford that. Yun predicts inflation is going to be high for several months. The market will slow as the Federal Reserve raises rates.

Yun also cites the Russia-Ukraine war as another contribution to the uncertainty of the market. The war is also driving inflation, not just overseas, but in the United States. With gas prices climbing higher each week, this is impacting the housing market.

Is real estate a good investment in this market?

Last year, when Yun opened the Residential Economic Issues & Trends Forum at NAR’s annual REALTOR® Conference & Expo in San Diego, he expected the “housing sector’s success to continue,” but he did suggest that 2022’s performance wouldn’t exceed 2021s.

“Rising rents will continue to place upward pressures on inflation,” he said. “Nevertheless, real estate is a great hedge against inflation.”

There’s a lot we don’t know about the future. It’s disappointing to think that the housing market may be uncertain, but real estate is still a good investment.

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