As we await poll results for the Nebraska and West Virginia primaries, the nation’s favorite distraction is drilling down exit polling and informal polling results. Locals are being asked who they prefer between one candidate versus another and what if so and so weren’t running, and do women prefer Candidate A or B, and what about a specific minority?
So what about Realtors? As the most engaged practitioners gather at the National Association of Realtors (NAR) Legislative Meetings in Washington D.C. today, thousands were asked to anonymously text their choice between Donald Trump (A) or Hillary Clinton (B).
Attendees were asked, “if the election for President were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican Candidate, and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Candidate, for whom would you vote?”
The results were Trump 59 percent and Clinton 41 percent. Not a landslide, but certainly not a close race with this demographic.
A CNN poll (April 28-May 1) indicates that given these two options, 54 percent prefer Clinton, while 41 percent prefer Trump.
Check it out – this is the lower deck of the audience, it’s not just a tiny little group:
So why the disparity?
First of all, the conference poll isn’t (nor does it claim to be) scientific, nor representative of all Realtors (which it also doesn’t claim to be). Yet it serves as a meaningful temp test for the industry.
More meaningful is perhaps the same group in D.C. polled as to whether they approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President. Would you believe that only 34 percent approve, while 66 percent disapprove?
That could indicate that perhaps the Realtor population isn’t necessarily leaning toward a candidate but away from a party.
The political season is still young
Just as all polls connect with a sample population and extrapolate, so can this one. Keeping that in mind, voters change their minds over time (just ask Trump himself), so will this same Realtor population feel this way come November?
In this political season, there is absolutely no way to predict.
This has been the craziest election in recent history and the rules have all been thrown out of the window, so stay tuned.